PDA

View Full Version : FIFA World Cup 2010 Group Stages


Greg W
05-12-2009, 00:48:55
Group A
South Africa
Mexico
Uruguay
France

Group B
Argentina
Nigeria
South Korea
Greece

Group C
England
USA
Algeria
Slovenia

Group D
Germany
Australia
Serbia
Ghana

Group E
Netherlands
Denmark
Japan
Cameroon

Group F
Italy
Paraguay
New Zealand
Slovakia

Group G
Brazil
North Korea
Ivory Coast
Portugal

Group H
Spain
Switzerland
Honduras
Chile

Greg W
05-12-2009, 12:46:30
Based purely on rankings (top 3 in brackets)...

Group A
7 - France
15 - Mexico
19 - Uruguay
86 - South Africa
---
147 (41)

Group B
8 - Argentina
12 - Greece
22 - Nigeria
52 - South Korea
---
94 (42)

Group C
9 - England
14 - USA
28 - Algeria
33 - Slovenia
---
84 (51)

Group D
4 - Germany
20 - Serbia
21 - Australia
37 - Ghana
---
82 (45)

Group E
3 - Netherlands
11 - Cameroon
26 - Denmark
43 - Japan
---
83 (40)

Group F
6 - Italy
30 - Paraguay
34 - Slovakia
77 - New Zealand
---
147 (70)

Group G
2 - Brazil
5 - Portugal
16 - Ivory Coast
84 - North Korea
---
107 (23)

Group H
1 - Spain
17 - Chile
18 - Switzerland
38 - Honduras
---
74 (36)

Some interesting trends there, even if rankings don't mean an awful lot...

*End Is Forever*
05-12-2009, 15:06:31
There's a fascinating post on the probabilities of each country progressing through the group stage by Nate Silver at 538.com:

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/12/world-cup-2010-advancement.html

Scabrous Birdseed
05-12-2009, 15:08:04
Can Greg be our new MoSe?

Back!
14-12-2009, 16:55:01
There's a fascinating post on the probabilities of each country progressing through the group stage by Nate Silver at 538.com:

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/12/world-cup-2010-advancement.html

:hmm:

take A

Uragay Advance 62%, that means 1st or 2nd
Win 34%, that means 1st
62% 1st or 2nd and 34% 1st means 62-34 = 28% 2nd

france win 33 advance 60 = 2nd 27

odd 1st: 34 uru 33 fra
odd 2nd: 28 uru 27 fra

Soooo...
U R gays get top odds to get 1st AND top odds to get 2nd....

mind:
all Win odds correctly sum up to 100 (1 spot)
all Adv odds correctly sum up to 200 (2 spots)

:clueless:

Funko
15-12-2009, 10:02:15
That soccer power ranking has England at #3 behind Spain and Brazil?! I think that percentages article uses a lot of dubious statistics to tell us which teams have tough groups... er... which we knew.